So, if at any time in the future the curve goes up a bit will you claim a correct prediction? That is not scientific - you should either make a prediction reasonably specific in time and numbers or keep quiet. The OECD report is here:https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/0d1d1e2e-en/index.html?itemId=/content/publication/0d1d1e2e-enI've had a quick look - it describes scenarios (not forecasts), the GDP decline table shows UK alongside France and Italy and a couple of points more than the EU area average. To understand why the economic impact is so harsh, look at the timeline of CCP lies, government decisions, the SAGE committee advice, the ICL modeling report and the media focus on political point scoring. Arguably the response to the pandemic was a gross overreaction with economic and health effects that in time will dwarf the fatalities from the Chinese virus. The worst decision of all (and UK is not the only country here) was to discharge patients to care homes where they died in thousands. Remember, this was done in a period of panic triggered by Professor Pantsdown's dodgy sums. he now has the brazen cheek to pop up and claim 3.1 million live were saved, all based on his discredited epidemiological modelling.We are where we are though and I'm slightly encouraged that the media is now picking up on the downsides of lock down (Nick Triggle of the BBC has always been good on this). I suspect recovery will be led by those of us who have not been petrified by Covid project fear - I'm meeting more and more people who are seeing through this and just getting on with their lives.
Andy Riley ● 1888d